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What
are futures ?
Futures are all about future prices. People who trade futures essentially trade
agreements about how much they will buy or sell something for at a specific date
in the future - usually the nearby future, within a few months or less. These
agreements are contracts that also specify the quantity and other details of the
commodity being traded.
A
futures contract is a legally binding agreement between two parties to buy or
sell in the future, on a designated exchange, a specific quantity of a commodity
at a specific price. The buyer and seller of a futures contract agree now on a
price for a product to be delivered or paid for at a set time in the future,
known as the "settlement date." Although actual delivery of the
commodity can take place in fulfillment of the contract, most futures contracts
are actually closed out or "offset" prior to delivery.
Futures contracts are traded through an auction-like process, with all bids
and offers on each contract made public. Through this, a prevailing market price
is reached for each contract, based primarily on the laws of supply and demand.
You
might be surprised to know that the futures markets are rarely used to actually
buy or sell the physical commodity or financial instrument being traded; they're
used for price estimation, risk management, and for some people, investment and
profit. How
do I go about trading futures ?
When
first considering trading futures, it is important to gain a thorough knowledge
of the market. Information about futures contracts, the clearing house, margin
calls, and the nature of the futures market are all readily available from all
Futures Exchanges and certified futures brokers. Attending seminars, reading
books and keeping up to date with the financial market is important.
The
process of actually learning how to trade futures contracts is more time
consuming. It involves being aware of ones own strengths and weaknesses, and
then developing a trading strategy to best suit the individual.
To
be successful in futures trading, one needs a planned, disciplined approach. It
is important to know your entry and exit levels before placing orders, and hence
your profit and loss goals. Having the confidence and discipline to stick to
these levels is an integral part of trading. Successful
futures traders always acknowledge the importance of psychology in their
trading. Traders must be disciplined and remain emotionally detached from the
market.
Futures
contracts must be executed on or subject to the rules of a commodity exchange.
You can either trade futures through your broker or Electronic Trading System.
(Only applicable for certain futures market ).
Our
daily life involves buying and selling of commodities and they fluctuate in
price. These price fluctuations are how we benefit and profit. In stock market,
you have to buy the stock at a low price and sell it at a high price to make a
profit. In the futures market, you can sell high and buy low, i.e. you can
short the market. (For example: assume gold prices are too high, we can sell gold at the high
price and buy it back when it reaches a lower price, thereby making a profit.)
DAY
TRADING
The world of futures trading has become increasingly
dominated by short term speculation. Since the early 1970's, virtually all
futures markets have become increasingly volatile, and the time window of market
moves has steadily narrowed. Nowadays, large intraday price swings provide a
consistent source of opportunities for an increasingly popular form of trading
known as day trading.
In addition to the increase in market volatility, a
large decrease in commission costs in recent years and significant advances in
computer technology have become powerful driving forces behind the growth of day
trading.
Commission cost has historically been the single
largest overhead factor in futures trading. With the advent of negotiated
brokerage commissions and discount brokerage service, it is now possible for
traders who do not seek the advice and input of a "full service"
broker to pay greatly reduced commissions, thereby following for more active
trading as well as trading for smaller price moves.
In
addition to greatly reduced commissions, the combination of advanced computer
hardware, charting software, and a wide array of “real time” market
quotation services accessible by computer, all affordable to even the novice
trader, has enhanced public participation in an area which was historically the
exclusive domain of professional off the-floor traders and on the floor pit
brokers. The increased pool of short term and day traders has increased market
liquidity which, in turn, has facilitated short term and day trading.
What
is Day Trading?
Day trading is the process of making trades during
the course of the trading day with the intention of making short-term profits.
True day traders will not hold positions to the next trading sessions regardless
of how they have fared during the day. This means that a loss is a loss and a
profit is a profit and that all scores are settled by the end of the trading
session win, lose, or draw. Day trades may be entered at any time during the
day, but they must be closed out by the end of the same day.
While
it is true that leaving a trade open for as long as possible increases the
opportunities for profits, it can also result in greater losses. What is
critical in day trading is not the length of time the trade remains open but,
rather, the range of prices traveled during the period the markets are open from
opening trade to closing trade. Successful day trading requires, amount many
other conditions, a wide trading range. The task of the day trader is to
forecast price movements within the confines of one trading day using technical
analysis tools. Many opportunities to profit arise in the course of every
trading day, but if, and only if, you know what to look for. This is why the
proper training is essential to anyone wishing to trade in this manner.
Why
Day Trade?
Given the volatile market environment described
above, day trading offers several advantages over position (i.e. longer term)
trading. They include the following:
1.
Day traders get many opportunities each day.
2.
You don't have overnight risk in day trading, so there is little or no margin
required even in big markets.
3.
High-probability entry systems, which most people want, work with short-term
trading.
4.
With good money management technique, the risk of losing huge amount of money is
well controlled by using tight stop loss.
5.
There's always another opportunity to make money.
Keys
to Successful Trading
Futures
trading requires management of the emotional states. Emotional imbalance impairs
the ability to make congruent decisions. The most optimal state is one of
complete emotional detachment, to remain calm and to act in accordance with your
strategy. That includes negative as much as positive emotions - the key word is
to stay "cool". Following are the 20 most important points I believe a
futures trader should observe in his or her trading strategy….
1. DISCIPLINE
Like most things in life, without it you won't succeed. Discipline is sticking
to your plan, including your "stops" and entry points. It is the
hardest, but most important rule of all.
2.
KNOW YOUR PURPOSE
Know why you are trading, if it is for the thrill, to make a living, whatever it
is…. you will enjoy it more and trade better if you know why you are doing it.
3.
TRADE ONLY WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE
Futures trading is risky, so don't fund your trading with money which, if lost,
could put you into financial difficulty.
4.
MAINTAIN MENTAL CLARITY
One of the keys to successful trading is mental independence and clarity - the
ability to free yourself from concerns that might distract you from trading.
Whether they be family, friends, or financial concerns, always aim for a
complete clarity of mind in your trading. Being clear in your goals and
maintaining your mental focus will help you stick to your plan and not make rash
decisions based on emotion.
5.
WALK BEFORE YOU CAN RUN
Learned knowledge and practical experience in the markets are the best teachers
in the longer term. It is best to start with small amounts of contracts and less
volatile markets and build from there.
6.
DON'T PLACE ALL YOUR EQUITY IN ANY SINGLE POSITION
One of the keys to success in trading is lasting in the game. Don't over commit
your account to any single position.
7.
ACCEPT THAT THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT
The market cannot be controlled by one person so it has to be accepted that it
will move regardless of what you want it to do. Fear, greed and hope can cloud
your vision of the market and can cause emotional responses detrimental to your
trading. The market will go where it wants to go.
8.
TRADE WITH DEFINITE GOALS IN MIND
Profits belong to those who make decisions and act, not those who react. Your
trading plan should not only focus on the best time to get in but also when to
get out. This involves setting a view for profit taking or loss minimization. It
is better to set a stop for a loss amount and stick to it. If in profit it is a
good plan to set a stop to take a minimum profit while still giving the trade
the potential for further profit.
9.
STICK TO YOUR PLAN
You can and should make minor adjustments throughout the trading period, but
don't let the ups and downs of the market affect your overall game plan. Unless
the market conditions that led you to place your trade change, don't abandon
your original objective.
10.
DON'T TRADE TOO MANY MARKETS
Concentrate and focus on a few select markets and completely master them, this
is what professional traders tend to do.
11.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
If you have certain indicators and analysis you feel are worthwhile, make
certain you use them in the right conditions, (eg. using a trend following
indicator in a ranging market will get you whipsawed). In that case you may be
better off using an oscillator indicator such as RSI or Stochastics.
12.
DON'T FOLLOW THE CROWD
When the paper calls a bull market it's possibly time to sell. Most traders are
uncomfortable when the position is popular with the general public. However the
opposite may be true if the "crowd" is made up of mostly institutional
traders.
13.
ADMIT THAT YOU ARE WRONG
Don't fall in love with a losing position. If you get it wrong, admit it, get
out, conserve your equity and wait for another opportunity.
14.
LET PROFITS RUN UNTIL YOU HAVE A REASON TO CASH IN
Let profits run until you are given a reason to cash in, whether that be a
trading system signal, a fundamental factor or your initial objective.
15.
OVER-REACTIONS
Some of the best trades are the ones executed on over-reactions (eg. If the Dow
Jones is down 150 points, the SPI may open 60-80 points down). In a lot of
situations this will be the low or close to the low of the day, and a profitable
buying opportunity can be the result. When the market presents an opportunity
like this, be quick and decisive
16.
BE CAREFUL WHEN PLACING "STOP LOSS" ORDERS
It is smart to use stops so that losses can be limited if the market moves
against you. Avoid setting them at fixed amounts, too close to the current
price, or on obvious support and resistance levels.
17.
WATCH CAREFULLY FOR MARKET DIVERGENCE
Professional traders are always on the lookout for market divergence. If the
market sentiment is bearish but then breaks through resistance levels, it can
often be a good indicator to buy.
18.
PICKING HIGHS AND LOWS
This is not easy for anyone to do. Instead it is better to ride the trend or
movement for as long as you can and look to exit when it is showing signs of
losing momentum.
19.
KEEP FRESH
Trading can be stressful and if done every day, you can become tired and your judgment
dulled. When that happens, you'll begin to lose money. It makes sense to have a
break every now and again and do something completely unrelated to trading. This
can often give you a new look at the markets and sharpen your trading skills.
20.
KEEP HEALTHY
You will think clearer if your trading activities are blended with physical
activity. Trading is time consuming and can be stressful, but provides
opportunity for growth, both financially and personally, not found in any other
arena. It therefore makes sense to give yourself every chance to be successful
by incorporating exercise into your trading day.
Find out how our
Trading System can help you trade successfully, the easier way............
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